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Harvard-MIT Math Tournament #0hzc

Harvard-MIT Math TournamentHard

From module Geometric Probability

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Understand the scale
Scale 0.5: Easiest math competition problems, often solvable even for early middle school students without experience. 1: Problems strictly for beginners, often at a moderate middle school level. 1.5: Problems for stronger beginner students, on the level of the middling problems in most middle school contests. 2: For motivated beginners, harder questions from the previous categories. 2.5: More advanced beginner problems, hardest questions from previous categories. 3: Early intermediate problems that require more creative thinking. 3.5: Tougher early intermediate problems that consistently stretch into higher-level creative thinking or conceptual knowledge. 4: Intermediate-level problems. 4.5: Upper intermediate problems approaching the upper bound for non-invitational sprint math competitions. 5: More difficult AIME problems or simple proof-based Olympiad-style problems. 6: High-level AIME-styled questions or introductory Olympiad-level questions. 7: Tougher Olympiad-level questions, may require more technical knowledge. 8: High-level Olympiad-level questions. 9: Expert Olympiad-level questions. 9.5: The hardest problems appearing on Olympiads which the strongest students could reasonably solve. 10: Historically notorious problems, generally unsuitable for even very hard competitions because they are exceedingly tedious, long, and difficult.
OtherMath Word Problems

Problem

Problem:

As part of his effort to take over the world, Edward starts producing his own currency. As part of an effort to stop Edward, Alex works in the mint and produces 1 counterfeit coin for every 99 real ones. Alex isn't very good at this, so none of the counterfeit coins are the right weight. Since the mint is not perfect, each coin is weighed before leaving. If the coin is not the right weight, then it is sent to a lab for testing. The scale is accurate 95%95\% of the time, 5%5\% of all the coins minted are sent to the lab, and the lab's test is accurate 90%90\% of the time. If the lab says a coin is counterfeit, what is the probability that it really is?

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