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February 2017 #0k04

February 2017Hard

From module Roots of Unity

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Understand the scale
Scale 0.5: Easiest math competition problems, often solvable even for early middle school students without experience. 1: Problems strictly for beginners, often at a moderate middle school level. 1.5: Problems for stronger beginner students, on the level of the middling problems in most middle school contests. 2: For motivated beginners, harder questions from the previous categories. 2.5: More advanced beginner problems, hardest questions from previous categories. 3: Early intermediate problems that require more creative thinking. 3.5: Tougher early intermediate problems that consistently stretch into higher-level creative thinking or conceptual knowledge. 4: Intermediate-level problems. 4.5: Upper intermediate problems approaching the upper bound for non-invitational sprint math competitions. 5: More difficult AIME problems or simple proof-based Olympiad-style problems. 6: High-level AIME-styled questions or introductory Olympiad-level questions. 7: Tougher Olympiad-level questions, may require more technical knowledge. 8: High-level Olympiad-level questions. 9: Expert Olympiad-level questions. 9.5: The hardest problems appearing on Olympiads which the strongest students could reasonably solve. 10: Historically notorious problems, generally unsuitable for even very hard competitions because they are exceedingly tedious, long, and difficult.
Generating functionsRoots of unity

Problem

Problem:

Kelvin and 15 other frogs are in a meeting, for a total of 16 frogs. During the meeting, each pair of distinct frogs becomes friends with probability 12\frac{1}{2}. Kelvin thinks the situation after the meeting is cool if for each of the 16 frogs, the number of friends they made during the meeting is a multiple of 4. Say that the probability of the situation being cool can be expressed in the form ab\frac{a}{b}, where aa and bb are relatively prime. Find aa.

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